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This story was originally featured on Fortune.com

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Despite the substantial existing research on space technology and strategic stability, there are still three notable shortcomings. First, regarding research objects, most studies focus on space technologies and equipment with clear military orientations, while they are less sensitive to space technology advancements from the private sector, such as “Starlink.” This oversight neglects the unique characteristics of civilian technology in terms of cost, scale, management models, and diffusion speed, as well as its impact on strategic stability. Second, regarding research perspectives, some studies have the limitation of discussing space in isolation, ignoring the complex entanglement and deep coupling between space technology and nuclear, conventional weapons, and other emerging technology fields like cyber and artificial intelligence. In the current cross-domain deterrence and multi-domain linkage deterrence situation, revealing the composite strategic stability impact of space technology and other technological fields is a pressing issue. Third, in the mechanism analysis of strategic stability impacts, some research remains at the holistic or macro level. While their conclusions hold general reference value, they struggle to evaluate the differential impacts of different types of space equipment and application areas on strategic stability, particularly for multi-functional space equipment like Starlink, which has more complex impacts on strategic stability compared to single-function technology equipment.

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